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Analysis on the structural forces reshaping global trade, critical resources, and geopolitical power.

COMMODITIES December 15, 2024

The Lithium Triangle: When Critical Minerals Become Weapons

Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile control 60% of global lithium reserves. As battery demand accelerates, resource nationalism is inevitable.

TRADE POLICY November 28, 2024

Chip Wars 2.0: The Semiconductor Decoupling Accelerates

Export controls were just the beginning. The next phase involves equipment, talent, and the entire supply chain.

GEOPOLITICS November 10, 2024

European Energy Sovereignty: The Price of Strategic Autonomy

After the Nord Stream shock, Europe is rebuilding its energy infrastructure. The costs are measured in decades and hundreds of billions.

TRADE POLICY October 22, 2024

Reshoring Reality Check: What the Data Actually Shows

Manufacturing announcements are not the same as manufacturing. We separate rhetoric from investment flows.

COMMODITIES October 5, 2024

The Rare Earth Stranglehold: China's Enduring Advantage

Processing capacity matters more than mining. Why Western efforts to break China's monopoly will take a decade.

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